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Red73
63888.7
415322.6
207327.3
Blue32
463518.8
684118.1
776110.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6554204060801007332

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#12
27.30.7
29.028.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
red by 8.5
4635
#38
18.81.3
20.118.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Second
4153
#32
22.60.7
23.322.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 4.6
6841
#36
18.11.3
19.318.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Third
6388
#54
8.70.7
9.48.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 1.7
7761
#42
10.41.3
11.410.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
30%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed