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Red50
268221.5
765314.4
549924.4
Blue65
406813.5
543718.4
420121.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6754203040506080905065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#55
24.41.1
25.324.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.0
End4.4
red by 2.4
4201
#33
21.90.9
21.122.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Second
2682
#58
21.51.1
22.521.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.9
red by 3.0
5437
#56
18.40.9
17.518.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
7653
#51
14.41.1
15.514.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 0.9
4068
#41
13.50.9
12.613.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsMissed