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Red62
247126.8
63888.7
505217.1
Blue54
750014.3
93223.7
23321.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5469204060801006254

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.7
24.124.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End6.8
red by 3.1
932
#18
23.71.0
21.520.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
Second
5052
#39
17.10.7
18.118.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
blue by 4.0
233
#48
21.11.0
25.024.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Third
6388
#54
8.70.8
8.79.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 5.6
7500
#62
14.31.0
18.917.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned58%HAB Docking oddsMissed