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Red46
549924.4
642920.5
716111.7
Blue52
63888.7
53819.3
324515.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61472040801004652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#55
24.41.0
23.022.0
Auto2.9
Teleop17.0
End4.4
red by 5.0
538
#45
19.30.6
20.120.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Second
6429
#43
20.51.1
20.319.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End2.4
red by 5.4
3245
#40
15.10.5
14.615.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Third
7161
#59
11.71.0
14.813.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.9
End2.6
red by 3.0
6388
#54
8.70.5
9.610.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed