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Red62
784311.3
207327.3
531222.7
Blue35
605913.3
23321.1
406813.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6653204060801006235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#12
27.30.0
29.229.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
red by 6.2
233
#48
21.11.0
24.123.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Second
5312
#23
22.70.0
22.622.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End5.1
red by 9.2
4068
#41
13.51.0
14.613.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
7843
#67
11.30.0
10.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 2.0
6059
#44
13.31.0
11.810.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsMissed