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Red71
415322.6
502626.9
784311.3
Blue112
132344.3
18033.4
300528.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64113408010012014016071112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#21
26.90.5
28.328.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End9.5
blue by 17.4
44.30.3
45.145.4
Auto3.6
Teleop31.6
End9.1
Second
4153
#32
22.60.5
23.123.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End4.4
blue by 10.8
180
#5
33.40.3
33.233.6
Auto3.8
Teleop20.6
End9.1
Third
7843
#67
11.30.5
9.710.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 17.0
28.30.3
28.528.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed91%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned