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Red71
268221.5
198329.3
33549.1
Blue63
415322.6
610616.3
501525.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7367204060801001207163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#16
29.30.1
32.132.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End7.2
red by 4.0
25.30.0
26.526.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End7.5
Second
2682
#58
21.50.1
21.821.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.9
blue by 1.2
4153
#32
22.60.0
21.321.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Third
3354
#65
9.10.1
15.315.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 7.3
6106
#47
16.30.0
15.415.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned