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Red113
93223.7
132344.3
620019.4
Blue85
766721.2
265928.3
291041.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879540608010012014011385

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.32.0
43.145.1
Auto3.6
Teleop31.6
End9.1
red by 3.3
2910
#15
41.00.3
41.841.5
Auto5.8
Teleop27.9
End7.3
Second
932
#18
23.72.0
22.724.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
blue by 4.6
2659
#26
28.30.3
28.428.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End7.0
Third
6200
#11
19.42.0
16.718.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End3.7
blue by 1.8
7667
#29
21.20.3
19.619.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
63%Rocket oddsEarned12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsMissed