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Red54
66529.6
337416.1
441524.6
Blue75
549924.4
684118.1
304512.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6355304050607080905475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#22
24.60.4
25.725.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.6
End7.0
red by 0.3
5499
#55
24.41.4
22.023.4
Auto2.9
Teleop17.0
End4.4
Second
3374
#63
16.10.4
21.320.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
blue by 2.0
6841
#36
18.11.7
17.719.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Third
6652
#66
9.60.4
13.012.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End2.6
blue by 3.2
3045
#61
12.91.4
12.013.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed