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Red76
180618.9
585412.1
510928.7
Blue98
704217.8
153914.4
132344.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61742040801007698

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#28
28.71.2
28.029.2
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End7.8
blue by 15.6
44.31.2
43.144.3
Auto3.6
Teleop31.6
End9.1
Second
1806
#53
18.91.2
19.520.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 1.1
7042
#14
17.81.2
13.414.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End6.3
Third
5854
#50
12.11.2
10.511.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 2.3
1539
#37
14.41.2
13.314.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed37%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned73%HAB Docking oddsEarned