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Red49
190223.0
765314.4
63888.7
Blue77
198329.3
419112.7
620019.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4561203040507080901004977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#60
23.00.4
19.019.4
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End2.8
blue by 6.3
1983
#16
29.31.3
32.033.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Second
7653
#51
14.40.5
13.614.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 5.0
6200
#11
19.41.3
14.816.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End3.7
Third
6388
#54
8.70.4
10.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 4.0
4191
#27
12.71.3
11.312.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsEarned