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Red55
766721.2
531222.7
642920.5
Blue75
18033.4
788718.3
610616.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63623040507080905575

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#23
22.70.5
22.622.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End5.1
blue by 10.7
180
#5
33.41.1
30.831.9
Auto3.8
Teleop20.6
End9.1
Second
7667
#29
21.20.5
18.117.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.9
End4.4
red by 2.9
7887
#10
18.31.1
12.413.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Third
6429
#43
20.50.5
19.218.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End2.4
red by 4.2
6106
#47
16.31.2
15.416.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned