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Red51
788718.3
25325.7
784311.3
Blue62
751420.3
610616.3
190223.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515630406070805162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#31
25.70.2
24.925.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End5.3
red by 2.7
1902
#60
23.00.6
19.420.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End2.8
Second
7887
#10
18.30.2
13.513.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 2.1
7514
#57
20.30.6
17.217.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Third
7843
#67
11.30.2
10.210.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 5.1
6106
#47
16.30.6
16.617.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed