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Red82
684118.1
268221.5
207327.3
Blue88
93223.7
97335.6
788718.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76767080858288

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#12
27.30.2
29.929.7
Auto3.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
blue by 8.3
973
#1
35.61.1
37.138.2
Auto5.4
Teleop21.9
End8.3
Second
2682
#58
21.50.2
21.921.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.9
blue by 2.2
932
#18
23.71.1
21.222.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
Third
6841
#36
18.10.2
20.019.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 0.2
7887
#10
18.31.1
13.614.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
58%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsEarned