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Red51
750014.3
153914.4
190223.0
Blue61
634811.0
324515.1
415322.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535030406070805161

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#60
23.00.1
20.019.8
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End2.8
red by 0.4
4153
#32
22.60.9
21.722.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Second
1539
#37
14.40.1
13.913.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.6
blue by 0.6
3245
#40
15.10.9
15.216.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Third
7500
#62
14.30.1
16.116.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End3.6
red by 3.2
6348
#25
11.00.9
10.711.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned