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Red76
420121.9
758310.9
788718.3
Blue77
441524.6
510928.7
170615.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54752040601007677

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#33
21.91.6
22.323.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End5.3
blue by 6.8
5109
#28
28.70.4
30.530.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End7.8
Second
7887
#10
18.31.6
14.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 6.3
4415
#22
24.60.4
24.324.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.6
End7.0
Third
7583
#64
10.91.6
14.516.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.4
blue by 4.5
1706
#34
15.40.4
16.717.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned