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Red58
784311.3
180618.9
84631.1
Blue67
419112.7
463518.8
359821.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61582040801005867

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#6
31.10.4
28.127.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.4
End7.5
red by 9.2
3598
#52
21.80.8
21.422.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End8.5
Second
1806
#53
18.90.4
19.419.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 0.1
4635
#38
18.80.8
20.421.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
7843
#67
11.30.4
10.19.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4191
#27
12.70.8
13.214.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned