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Red86
181721.3
788718.3
426525.0
Blue83
153914.4
84231.9
549924.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62722040801008683

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#24
25.01.8
22.824.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End4.4
blue by 7.0
842
#46
31.90.8
28.829.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.4
Second
1817
#20
21.31.8
20.021.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End7.7
blue by 3.0
5499
#55
24.40.8
25.226.0
Auto2.9
Teleop17.0
End4.4
Third
7887
#10
18.31.8
16.318.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
red by 3.8
1539
#37
14.40.8
14.215.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket oddsEarned36%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned