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Red45
300528.3
63888.7
758310.9
Blue95
153914.4
606820.6
752126.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58652040801004595

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.6
29.128.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.6
End5.1
red by 1.9
7521
#30
26.41.0
28.829.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End5.5
Second
7583
#64
10.90.6
15.314.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End3.4
blue by 9.7
6068
#19
20.61.0
19.520.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.4
Third
6388
#54
8.70.6
10.19.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 5.7
1539
#37
14.41.0
13.114.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned