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Red70
132344.3
634811.0
765314.4
Blue81
154031.6
531222.7
788718.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757450607080901007081

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.1
45.445.4
Auto3.6
Teleop31.6
End9.1
red by 12.7
31.60.7
30.731.5
Auto4.6
Teleop21.1
End5.9
Second
7653
#51
14.40.1
15.815.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 8.3
5312
#23
22.70.7
21.322.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End5.1
Third
6348
#25
11.00.1
10.09.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.8
blue by 7.3
7887
#10
18.30.7
18.118.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
48%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsEarned