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Red60
450415.8
359821.8
505217.1
Blue74
60433.0
415322.6
406813.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61752040801006074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#52
21.80.0
22.022.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End8.5
blue by 11.2
604
#4
33.00.0
34.434.4
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End9.1
Second
5052
#39
17.10.0
18.718.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
blue by 5.5
4153
#32
22.60.0
23.523.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Third
4504
#49
15.80.0
16.916.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
red by 2.3
4068
#41
13.50.0
13.113.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned82%HAB Docking oddsEarned