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Red70
543718.4
247126.8
53819.3
Blue87
788718.3
198329.3
84231.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688440601001207087

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
28.128.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End6.8
blue by 5.2
842
#46
31.90.5
29.630.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.4
Second
538
#45
19.30.0
18.918.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End5.3
blue by 10.0
1983
#16
29.30.5
31.231.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Third
5437
#56
18.40.0
17.517.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 0.1
7887
#10
18.30.5
18.819.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed57%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned