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Qual 202019 Battle of the Bay
Red20
107314.2
676212.7
50114.5
Blue39
192222.0
45469.7
264817.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47520204060801001201402039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#30
14.51.8
16.8→15.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 7.5
1922
#5
22.00.7
21.6→20.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
1073
#32
14.21.8
15.2→13.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End4.3
blue by 3.3
2648
#27
17.50.7
17.5→16.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
6762
#21
12.71.8
12.3→10.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.8
red by 3.0
4546
#26
9.70.7
10.6→9.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned