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Red64
264817.5
999611.7
456426.9
Blue72
151921.5
346720.3
492515.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57563040507080906472

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.5
26.126.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End10.0
red by 5.4
1519
#14
21.51.3
20.822.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End7.3
Second
2648
#27
17.50.5
16.817.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 2.7
3467
#12
20.31.3
17.919.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End5.5
Third
11.70.5
11.211.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End4.0
blue by 3.9
4925
#19
15.61.3
14.315.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsEarned