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Red89
31929.3
50922.3
88519.1
Blue62
192227.8
237027.9
669118.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748040601001208962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#6
29.30.4
29.029.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End4.8
red by 1.4
27.90.3
28.428.1
Auto3.0
Teleop15.4
End9.5
Second
509
#1
22.30.4
22.122.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End6.1
blue by 5.5
27.80.3
28.428.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End10.0
Third
885
#15
19.10.4
18.819.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End4.3
red by 1.0
6691
#30
18.10.3
18.718.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8