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Red49
713312.8
105819.8
636716.3
Blue45
495818.3
31929.3
669118.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3856102030506070804945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#11
19.80.9
17.518.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End7.0
blue by 9.5
319
#6
29.30.6
23.623.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End4.8
Second
6367
#13
16.30.9
11.212.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End4.1
blue by 2.0
4958
#34
18.30.6
11.410.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End4.0
Third
7133
#25
12.80.9
7.18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End1.7
blue by 5.3
6691
#30
18.10.6
18.317.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed