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Red67
192227.8
88519.1
50922.3
Blue34
50121.3
689510.5
45467.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641203050607080906734

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.9
26.827.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End10.0
red by 6.6
501
#4
21.30.3
14.314.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End6.6
Second
509
#1
22.30.9
15.116.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End6.1
red by 11.8
6895
#28
10.50.3
12.412.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Third
885
#15
19.10.9
11.011.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End4.3
red by 11.4
4546
#27
7.60.5
12.111.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsEarned