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Red35
15119.1
79079.4
174015.7
Blue52
689510.5
15128.6
23824.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41411020305060703552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#14
19.10.3
16.416.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.9
blue by 5.2
238
#7
24.30.9
21.222.1
Auto3.2
Teleop16.4
End4.7
Second
1740
#37
15.70.3
13.313.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End3.0
red by 5.2
6895
#28
10.50.9
10.311.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Third
7907
#38
9.40.3
9.49.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.7
red by 0.8
1512
#26
8.60.9
7.18.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed