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Red41
590215.9
81115.8
72125.5
Blue65
31929.3
689510.5
16621.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386120804165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5902
#19
15.90.3
13.914.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End4.6
blue by 13.4
319
#6
29.30.3
27.427.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End4.8
Second
811
#35
15.80.3
15.515.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End1.8
blue by 5.6
166
#10
21.40.3
17.918.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Third
7212
#40
5.50.5
6.77.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.0
blue by 5.0
6895
#28
10.50.3
12.312.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed