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Red45
689510.5
18319.9
6927.1
Blue43
403413.4
107320.5
712611.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4434102030405060704543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#2
27.10.2
20.720.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End9.7
red by 6.6
1073
#12
20.50.7
13.714.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End7.2
Second
6895
#28
10.50.2
12.212.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
blue by 2.9
4034
#18
13.40.7
11.111.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Third
1831
#23
9.90.3
8.68.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.3
blue by 1.5
7126
#36
11.40.7
7.78.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed