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Red55
18319.9
590215.9
495818.3
Blue60
15128.6
151715.9
767415.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443920305060705560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4958
#34
18.30.9
17.818.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End4.0
red by 2.4
1517
#32
15.91.6
15.216.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.4
Second
5902
#19
15.90.9
13.914.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End4.6
red by 0.3
7674
#24
15.61.6
13.314.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.3
Third
1831
#23
9.90.9
9.910.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.3
red by 1.4
1512
#26
8.61.6
8.29.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned