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Red65
16621.4
50922.3
712611.4
Blue56
495818.3
403413.4
151715.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5251354045556065706556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#1
22.31.0
20.421.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End6.1
red by 4.0
4958
#34
18.30.3
18.718.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End4.0
Second
166
#10
21.41.0
19.320.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End3.8
red by 5.5
1517
#32
15.90.3
16.716.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.4
Third
7126
#36
11.41.0
10.011.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 2.0
4034
#18
13.40.3
13.313.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed