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Red45
15128.6
596215.3
713312.8
Blue45
345115.0
107320.5
72125.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060804545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5962
#20
15.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End5.2
blue by 5.3
1073
#12
20.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End7.2
Second
7133
#25
12.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End1.7
blue by 2.2
3451
#33
15.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End3.8
Third
1512
#26
8.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End2.0
red by 3.1
7212
#40
5.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed