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Red52
403413.4
31929.3
79079.4
Blue58
107320.5
359717.1
713312.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473910203060705258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#6
29.30.5
23.023.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End4.8
red by 8.8
1073
#12
20.51.2
14.415.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End7.2
Second
4034
#18
13.40.5
11.812.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.1
End3.2
blue by 3.7
17.11.2
14.515.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End5.4
Third
7907
#38
9.40.5
10.010.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 3.4
7133
#25
12.81.2
8.09.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed