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Red51
476121.3
669118.3
356610.8
Blue17
66904.9
346712.2
563312.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38332030505117

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.0
13.213.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.6
End7.6
red by 9.0
3467
#15
12.21.6
10.79.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Second
18.30.0
13.213.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.8
red by 6.1
5633
#20
12.21.6
12.210.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.8
Third
3566
#32
10.80.0
9.99.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
red by 5.9
6690
#36
4.91.6
8.46.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed