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Red53
490512.8
456419.5
741616.6
Blue24
590212.6
689512.2
356610.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333110204050605324

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#11
19.52.4
15.618.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.8
red by 7.0
5902
#24
12.61.0
10.39.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End3.5
Second
7416
#17
16.62.4
10.312.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.3
End3.3
red by 4.4
6895
#29
12.21.0
9.58.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Third
4905
#18
12.82.4
5.27.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 2.0
3566
#32
10.81.0
9.88.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed