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Red31
356610.8
498714.7
456419.5
Blue21
563312.2
52659.5
127713.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137202530354550553121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#11
19.50.8
17.416.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.8
red by 5.8
1277
#25
13.71.5
12.210.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Second
4987
#27
14.70.8
12.411.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
red by 2.5
5633
#20
12.21.5
11.910.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.8
Third
3566
#32
10.80.8
8.67.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
red by 1.3
5265
#28
9.51.5
10.89.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed