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Red34
52659.5
346712.2
632813.3
Blue40
15126.3
124712.0
669118.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636253040453440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#30
13.30.3
11.010.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 5.0
18.30.0
14.914.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Second
3467
#15
12.20.2
12.312.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.3
red by 0.2
1247
#16
12.00.0
12.312.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Third
5265
#28
9.50.3
11.010.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 3.2
1512
#35
6.30.0
6.56.6
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed