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Red56
395816.7
476121.3
124712.0
Blue51
632813.3
34812.0
172917.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483720304060705651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.8
19.520.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.6
End7.6
red by 4.3
1729
#12
17.01.0
14.515.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Second
16.70.8
14.014.8
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 3.4
6328
#30
13.31.3
10.711.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
1247
#16
12.00.8
12.313.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
red by 0.1
348
#33
12.01.3
10.311.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed