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Red69
172917.0
632920.3
395816.7
Blue49
498714.7
13117.5
490512.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52442030406070806949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.5
18.520.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.9
red by 2.7
131
#22
17.50.6
16.517.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Second
1729
#12
17.01.3
15.516.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End4.8
red by 2.4
4987
#27
14.70.5
14.114.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Third
16.71.5
14.816.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 3.9
4905
#18
12.80.5
11.111.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed