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Red32
13117.5
492915.5
356610.8
Blue18
632813.3
498714.7
208411.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35342025303218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#22
17.50.1
13.513.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 2.9
4987
#27
14.71.6
13.411.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Second
4929
#14
15.50.1
9.39.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End6.1
red by 2.3
6328
#30
13.31.6
13.411.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
3566
#32
10.80.1
10.09.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 0.7
2084
#23
11.41.6
5.53.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed