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Qual 152019 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red47
676318.2
151927.5
173517.2
Blue49
107322.9
16624.8
998510.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66610501001504749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
27.50.0
27.5→27.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End6.5
red by 2.7
166
Unranked
24.80.0
24.8→24.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Second
6763
Unranked
18.20.0
18.2→18.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 4.7
1073
Unranked
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
1735
Unranked
17.20.0
17.2→17.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 7.1
9985
Unranked
10.10.0
10.1→10.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket odds9%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking odds45%HAB Docking odds