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Red68
151927.5
172926.2
176828.5
Blue51
173517.2
107322.9
50120.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87642040801001201406851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
red by 5.6
1073
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Second
1519
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End6.5
red by 6.7
501
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Third
1729
Unranked
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End5.5
red by 9.0
1735
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
69%Rocket odds6%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking odds59%HAB Docking odds