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Red40
23429.8
998510.1
693316.0
Blue55
16624.8
176828.5
192225.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3884020601001204055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
Unranked
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 12.5
1768
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
Second
9985
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 15.8
1922
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End8.3
Third
2342
Unranked
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 14.9
166
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket odds32%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking odds86%HAB Docking odds