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Red95
615322.9
172926.2
693316.0
Blue64
107322.9
15119.1
23429.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695502040801001209564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
Unranked
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End5.5
red by 3.2
1073
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Second
6153
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End4.3
red by 3.8
151
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Third
6933
Unranked
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.7
red by 6.2
2342
Unranked
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1