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Red77
12621.9
192222.8
23824.3
Blue89
16620.5
346721.3
172926.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72704060801007789

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#15
24.30.1
24.124.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End4.5
blue by 2.5
1729
#21
26.80.4
26.126.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End7.0
Second
1922
#25
22.80.1
22.622.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.4
red by 1.5
21.30.4
20.621.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Third
126
#6
21.90.1
21.721.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 1.5
166
#5
20.50.4
19.820.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.6
End3.1