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Red31
362311.4
172926.8
676311.9
Blue28
23423.4
81114.6
13813.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801003128

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#21
26.81.9
28.126.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End7.0
red by 12.2
811
#22
14.61.2
15.814.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Second
6763
#23
11.91.9
18.216.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 1.1
138
#24
13.01.2
14.713.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Third
3623
#18
11.41.9
12.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.2
red by 8.0
2342
#30
3.41.2
9.88.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed