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Red29
50918.4
81114.6
490521.0
Blue77
31932.7
740723.8
192222.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6083020401001201402977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#28
21.01.9
22.320.5
Auto2.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1
blue by 11.7
319
#11
32.70.1
32.232.1
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End8.3
Second
509
#27
18.41.9
20.018.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End4.0
blue by 5.5
23.80.1
23.423.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End6.3
Third
811
#22
14.61.9
14.913.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.9
End2.6
blue by 8.2
1922
#25
22.80.1
23.423.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned