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Red40
1728.2
581317.4
50118.7
Blue68
31932.7
362311.4
50918.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496402040801001201401604068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#12
18.70.4
19.419.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 13.9
319
#11
32.70.5
32.132.6
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End8.3
Second
5813
#20
17.40.4
18.017.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 0.9
509
#27
18.40.5
18.118.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Third
172
#29
8.20.4
8.58.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.5
blue by 3.2
3623
#18
11.40.5
10.711.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned