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Red58
16620.5
12621.9
581317.4
Blue24
3489.8
490521.0
13813.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801005824

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
21.90.2
19.519.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 0.9
4905
#28
21.01.7
24.022.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1
Second
166
#5
20.50.2
17.617.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.6
End3.1
red by 7.5
138
#24
13.01.7
13.511.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Third
5813
#20
17.40.2
18.618.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End5.7
red by 7.7
348
#26
9.81.7
12.010.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsMissed